This is a rare situation. "More normal demand recovery, as it has been to the construction period." April 9, busy shipping he told reporters.
His satisfaction is also reflected in the price. Although the National Bureau of Statistics released figures show, the producer purchase price of iron and steel (ferrous metals) in March was 4.2 percent lower than last year, but he found that compared with the previous month, the price is in fact better.
Such as the above-mentioned steel in 4270-4280 yuan / ton, the lowest point after the Spring Festival, only 4070-4080 yuan per ton.
What he says, perhaps a microcosm of the current economic local pick up.
National Bureau of Statistics will be published in the April 13 in the first quarter economic figures, this newspaper learned that According to the figures around the preliminary master, despite the overall economic slowdown, but the first quarter of the economy will be better than expected.
Here the major institutions predict that this year's first quarter economic growth may be about 8.5%. In view of the first quarter prices rose 3.8 percent, slightly higher than the previous estimate of 3.5 percent figure, the next phase of the central bank is unlikely to soon lower interest rates, the implementation of monetary policy easing. However, the latest PPI index see, there has been two years since the first negative growth in the PPI down the growth momentum. "Means that the CPI long term is difficult.
Bank of Development Research Department, Wang Yuwen told reporters that the next stage of the country may deposit reserve ratio of effort, resource price reform measures, but also a steady decline with the price and the introduction of.
Prior to the morning of April 3, Wen Jiabao presided in Fuzhou held in four provinces (municipalities) economic situation, the forum emphasized the introduction of the pre-tune fine-tuning measures, the next step as soon as the situation changes, while good policy to prepare, leaving the corresponding policy space.
A quarter of the economy better than expected
National Bureau of Statistics figures for the previous January-February, Beijing, Zhejiang, Shanghai, Guangdong, above-scale industrial added value, respectively, only 2.4%, 2.9%, 4%, 5%, than last year's growth rate fell by almost 2/3 .
Reporters learned from these areas of economic research departments in these areas despite the economy than last year has slowed, but still better than expected, in the first quarter's economic situation will be better in 2009.
Other parts of the region, despite the outgoing flashed the news of economic negative, in fact, not so pessimistic.
Guangdong, for example, the Guangdong Foshan first quarter economy is expected to 5%, very different with the full-year 10% of the target. Same period in Dongguan, Shenzhen above-scale industrial added value also appeared in a negative growth. Guangdong this purpose in 2012 the economic growth rate down to 8.5 percent, lower than 9% in the previous year's growth target.
However, the director of the Guangdong Academy of Social Sciences, Institute of Economic Research, Product Safety, told the reporters that the first quarter of Guangdong's economy is to be adjusted in the steady growth despite the economic growth rate may be lower than the same period last year, Guangdong's economy is speeding up adjustment.
"The speed of the past soon, but not necessarily pay attention to quality, even if a little slower right, better pay attention to improving people's livelihood, as well as to ensure the quality of the environment," Liu said.
Liu judgment, may be a quarter of Guangdong's economy% 89 "is done well, there will be a breakthrough". The main reason is that Guangdong's tertiary industry suffered the impact will not be. Guangdong proportion of tertiary industry in 2009 has surpassed the secondary industry.
Jiangsu Province from January to February this year, the province's above-scale industrial added value of 393.5 billion yuan, an increase of 11 percent, an increase over the 2011 year, down 2.8 percentage points year-on-year drop of 3.4 percentage points.
The judgment of the Jiangsu provincial government in the executive meeting held on April 5, more optimistic about the meeting that a quarter of Jiangsu province's economy overall smooth start, running better than expected. Also see that "the whole greater than last year due to the complex and volatile international economic environment and the domestic economic operation of the new situation and new changes, do the economic work this year, the degree of difficulty".
Prior to the National Development and Reform Commission Zhang Xiaoqiang, deputy director, revealed that a quarter of China's GDP growth by about 8.4%. Goldman Sachs predicts that one-quarter economic growth at 8.5%.
Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, will be released this month on the 24th spring economic and run reports. The economic situation of the hospital group of experts Shen Lisheng told reporters that the annual economic growth is expected in about 8.7%, still substantially higher than the scheduled beginning of the target of 7.5%. "In fact the economy more than 8 percent is already high, the current economic slowdown, without too much concern." He said.
The first negative growth in the PPI two years
This reporter has learned that shortly before the decision-making department who, in an internal seminar reached a preliminary agreement that this year the prices at the level of 4% can be achieved.
It is understood that in March, fresh vegetable prices rose 20.5 percent and other factors to promote the CPI rose by about 0.64 percentage points, the CPI rose 3.6%, 3.2% in February. Prices, real deposit rates last month short-term change are once again turn negative.
Yu Song, an analyst at Goldman Sachs, at least so far the downward trend of the CPI inflation rate has not changed. CPI inflation rebounded in March, in large part due to vegetable prices.
Excluding the prices of vegetables, according to its estimates, CPI growth of about 3.0 percent, unchanged from February and a decline than an increase of 3.8 percent in January.
"As weather conditions improved supply has increased since the second half of March, the absolute level and an increase of the prices of vegetables have come down so we expect the April CPI food price inflation will slow down significantly." He said.
In contrast, with the CPI, the purchasing prices of industrial producers PPI fell 0.3% in March 2012, this Sony Parts Replacement is the first negative growth in the two years since the last negative growth during a global financial crisis in July 2009, when Many professionals to determine the PPI down a big impetus to the rise in the long run, means that the CPI is difficult.
Zhejiang Fulbright Dell XPS Keyboard materials ZHOU Yao told reporters that the rebar sold almost every day busy. Steel prices rise, but prices rise quickly, the developers believe that the project as soon as possible ending more profit.
"The current real estate enterprises purchased was not active, such as in the past into the once a week, now is the feed once every two weeks." ZHOU Yao said.
Lange Steel Information Research Center, Zhang Lin told reporters that the national steel price index year-on-year decline, such as the April 9 long products index was 193.7 points, this time last year was 213.6 points. Taking into account the actual market demand, "April 9, long products index 189.6 points in March 9, but will not last risen to where to go".
Zhang introduced in the research of various steel market, many steel companies have the implementation of direct selling in the market, bypassing the intermediate company, the situation in 2009 is not so common.
"So the current steel market rebounded, but the price chain is still difficult to rally." Zhang said.
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